Sunday 29 May 2016

THINGS HAVE CHANGED FOR THE WORSE: THE STORY OF BUHARI'S FIRST YEAR IN OFFICE

On every May 29th when Nigerians sit down to evaluate the performances of governments over the past year ,there are usually three score sheets.One by the die-hard supporters of the leader, another by the opposition and then the one by the governed which in most cases is a mixture of both because the ordinary nigerian has the rare privilege of being unbiased.I am neither PDP nor APC.I am Nigerian and there is nothing I would rather be.Unlike the many hypocrites out there who shy away from the truth to defend a non-performing government almost to a nauseating extent, I understand we as nigerians have no reason to hate or antagonize a leader for any other reason than his performances for the simple fact that if he succeeds, we gain and if he doesn't, we lose.Its really that simple.
As we celebrate May 29th this year, it is with a heavy heart that I say the 'Peoples Scorecard' of President Buhari's performance over the past year is full of red ink.He has failed in numerous subjects.Admittedly he got off to a flying start by effectively rallying up our neighbours to wage a successful counter against Boko haram and also overseeing a record high in electricity supply.He ensured probes of corrupt individuals ended up in prosecution in our courts but that is as far as it goes.It turned out a mere flash in the pan as even these accomplishments falter in the midst of certain valid posers.
He has made a few good moves but on a just scale, his failure outweighs the good by miles.Buhari has done creditably well in quelling the insurgency that has plagued us for quite some time now but then the sad part is there is no boko haram column on the score sheet.It has to form a part of his assessment under security.It is ironic how a man can practically rid us of our number one security threat yet fail in the security aspect.The activities of the fulani herdsmen was allowed to get out of hand.A lot of souls were lost in Agatu, Enugu, Ondo and other places to the herdsmen.After the Enugu massacre where about 500 lives were reportedly lost, it sickened not a few nigerians that we weren't actually telling PMB we were tired of his messages of condolence and sympathy, we were actually wondering if he had even as much as issued a statement in that regard.
The President, like the previous administration only officially deemed a most sensitive security situation a very serious threat many lost lives later.
And still on the handling of the herdsmen crisis, the President's towns man whom he 'deretired' to run the DSS made a very bad call when he disclosed that 5 bodies reportedly found killed and buried in the bushes by the IPOB were fulanis.A veteran manning such office is expected to fully understand the consequences of doing such.Asides having to face embarrassing questions on how he was sure there were fulanis and that there were killed by the biafrans, it had the potential to escalate a security situation on two ends-that of the biafrans and then that of the fulanis.
The biafrans could make it look like the government was conveniently hasty in reaching a conclusion and the fulanis could deem it a declaration of war.There was just no upside to that statement except of course, if the DSS chief wanted to instigate a crisis.
And that story being bandied round about warring communities in Enugu has had little or no effect on the scheme of things, to many it is just the fulanis exacting revenge on innocent souls.
The Buhari government has failed to secure our vital oil and power installations.There is definitely no change in that regard.With threats from Asari Dokubo and the sorts to make the country ungovernable for any President other than Goodluck Jonathan, he was reasonably expected to move fast in securing them as they were very likely targets.There is no sign the government has learnt its lesson yet as the Niger Delta Avengers seem to be wrecking more havoc with no signs of slowing down.
Add this all up to the increased spate of kidnappings across the country and you will understand why the President has failed in Security.
The deplorable state of our finances made it imperative for nigerians to be patient with the President at the onset but he seems to have crossed the line as the bulk of our predicament is attributable to his incompetence.Nigerians were made to suffer for too long before the government struck its purported winning formula to the fuel problem.If government knew marketers hadn't being importing fuel since October last year why did it keep attributing the scarcity to vandalism and misleading Nigerians as to the true position of things?.We have heard countless stories from Ibe Kachikwu, the President's junior petroleum minister that all amount to utter rubbish with the benefit of hindsight.
Buhari removed, reinstated and removed subsidy with a N58 naira increase in fuel price in just four months.The handling has being most pathetic.
The government may have generated a 4,810MW  record peak in electricity but it has also set the unenviable record of crashing us down to OMW and nowadays, 3000MW seems a long way as we steady power generation at 2000MW at best.The President and his team claim vandalized power installations are the reason for the sorry state of power supply and what annoys most is the tinge of 'legitimacy' they attach to that excuse.His SSA on media went as far as telling those complaining over poor power supply to go and 'fight the vandals'.
Admittedly, vandalism has been a recurring problem but Buhari and his crew fail to realize we voted them in to change things.The patience card won't quite avail them here when we have an almost dormant civil defence corps which seems at best a second police force.Vandals operated during the previous administrations but we never had to suffer this much.
Poor power supply translates to poor water supply as well in most parts of the country and with the fuel issue in mind as well, it is safe to say we have not been adequately provided the most essential amenities.As a matter of fact, we fared better under the previous government.
The Buhari administration can wriggle round questions about foreign policy by citing his numerous trips abroad as creating a formidable presence for us in world affairs but the truth is there is no story we haven't heard as far as foreign trips are concerned.The President has spent a lot of time in the air with no visible results.Nigerians are now wiser as they no longer fall for the sweet tales our leaders return home to tell, they will only be moved  by action.Relative peace has returned to the troubled north eastern states and we have not heard anything from any of the countries that promised to help us rebuild them.Apart from the trips aimed at securing the commitment of nations to help repatriate stolen funds, quite a number of those trips are ones he could gladly sit out in line with his promise to cut the cost of governance.
I found it particularly intriguing that the President himself could actually attend a global warming summit while still preaching the 'cost' sermon.The China trip which was initially reported to be worth a $2billion loan turned out a ruse as he returned to tell us that all too familiar story of investments and the sorts.All one needs do is to dig into the archives to unearth such multi-billion naira stories and just how much Nigeria has actually benefited from them.
I am glad the President himself has acknowledged the importance of a few conditions precedent to a healthy economic transformation.Conditions like adequate power supply.With the current state of the nation, it is suicidal for any foreign investor to delve into our waters when a thorough feasibility study would reveal just how many companies have left as a result of the high dollar exchange rate and how the ones presently doing business here are coping with the high cost of running it.Our economy is in shambles and diversification won't yield instant results as time is needed to ensure the viability of alternate avenues. The lack of basic amenities chiefly due to the President's ineptitude has contributed in no small measure to the pathetic state of our economy.Oil prices have played their part but then we must also judge the efforts of the President with the hand he was dealt and truth be told, he seems overwhelmed by the onerous task before him.
Due to falling oil prices at the time Buhari came into office, it became imperative that we reduced costs.He himself sang that song in high pitch.But then no matter what he and his cronies choose to make us believe, he hasn't made any meaningful impact.The National Assembly cut down its budget and formed a committee to look into the possibility of further cutting down their remuneration when the President was singing at his loudest but when his unenthusiastic approach to costs became quite obvious, they put an end to that plan and started talking about a multi-billion naira supply of vehicles.
Buhari may have merged some ministries but we have a lot we can do without.The Niger Delta ministry is one he should not have maintained and budget and National planning could be a department in the finance ministry.The women affairs ministry is one which makes me want to support the gender equality activists as much as I can.Having it only amplifies the fact that we deem them second class citizens in need of 'special' help.Times have changed and I think it has outlived its usefulness.
Its a pity the President failed to see through all these and more saddening is the fact that he chose to go with 36 ministers instead of the much touted 19.We still have 9 planes in the presidential air fleet and if you add that to the fact that governors are still paid security votes amounting to several billions monthly, quite contrary to what he adviced the Jonathan administration to do in 2011, I'm sure you will agree we could have saved a lot more.
I must commend the fight against corruption as the Buhari administration is one where indictment in a probe translates to automatic prosecution.Like I tell people, every nigerian politician is guilty until proven innocent and if they choose our anti-graft bodies to wage war against each other then we are the better for it.The only sad thing about Buhari's war is that he has exploited the fact that virtually everyone is dirty 'unjustly'.
Olisa Metuh and Fani Kayode, the most vocal members of the opposition asides Ayo Fayose, the Ekiti state governor (who currently enjoys immunity) have been targeted while concrete allegations against Babatunde Fashola and Rotimi Amaechi in the build-up to the ministerial appointments weren't paid any serious attention.The EFCC failed to diligently prosecute Timipre Sylva and the only APC fish in its net is the Senate President who quite incidentally happened to have disobeyed the President and the Party.
While I agree that the PDP did a lot of damage, we must also not forget that there are former APC governors who aren't particularly clean.
While saluting the President's handling of armsgate where Dasuki stole $2.1 Billion for himself and his friends, the petroleum ministry remains without a doubt, the corruption hub of the previous government with several billions of dollars unaccounted for.At the risk of sounding immodest, we really need to move fast before Deziani Allison Madueke, the former minister of petroleum resources kicks the bucket.
The $115 Million bribery scandal is a mere drop in the ocean compared to what really went down there.Jide Omokoro, a close ally of Madueke owns one of the most luxurious yatchts in the world with music superstar couple, Jay Z and Beyoncé paying almost a million dollars to spend just a week on it.We must get down to some serious business as far as that ministry is concerned.High level probes must end in prosecution of the people who have looted us dry.
There is certainly room for improvement in the anti-corruption war which along with the crippling of boko haram remain the only positives of PMB's 365 days in office.The Buhari administration has largely under-performed so far and for our own good, we hope the President starts getting key decisions right.
The story of his first year in office in a nutshell is simply-We voted change and change we got as things have certainly changed for the worse.

Thursday 19 May 2016

NIGERIANS AS LAB RATS FOR BUHARI'S FUEL SCARCITY EXPERIMENTS

I haven't forgotten that vandalism was initially given as the reason for the fuel scarcity.We were meant to believe vandals and saboteurs plunged us into this mess.
I haven't forgotten that upon assumption of office, Mr President promised that our refineries would be fully up and running by the end of August 2015.
I have also not forgotten that in November last year, the sum of N413 Billion naira was approved as payments for oil marketers and the Group General Manager, Public Affairs division of the NNPC, Mr Ohi Alegbe told us it was in consonance with the zero tolerance policy of the government towards fuel queues nationwide.He also hoped at that time that the payment would ensure marketers joined hands with the NNPC to ensure the country stays wet with petroleum products all year long.
I haven't forgotten that the NNPC released a statement as recently as the 29th of February this year to the effect that it had secured the  commitment of the MOMAN (Major oil marketers of nigeria) leadership to help end the fuel scarcity.
I haven't forgotten that the government removed fuel subsidy in January 2016 and later reverted to subsidizing fuel for N13 per litre barely three months later.
And last but not least, i haven't forgotten that Mr President's 'deputy' Petroleum Minister, Ibe Kachikwu promised the scarcity would be over by May this year.These all add up to one thing-the President and his team are very confused. 
The entire approach of the federal government to the fuel scarcity issue can at best be refered to as trial and error.There was no definite plan of action, rather what it kept doing was experimenting at the expense of innocent nigerians who have more or less being turned into lab rats.
Now, the government has hiked fuel price to N145 and the junior petroleum minister is telling us the scarcity is due to the oil marketers' inability to source foreign exchange and to also open letters of credit and I ask: Which marketers?.
The ones who were allegedly paid their N413 billion debt as an incentive to further join hands with the NNPC to end the scarcity or the ones whose commitment the NNPC said it had secured?.
If the government was aware that the marketers had been unable to bring in fuel since October of 2015, what efforts then can it truly say was being made to end the scarcity knowing fully well that the refining capacity of our refineries is barely 50% of the quantity needed to service the nation?.From Lai's three week promise in November to Kachikwu's endless deadlines, it means we were being misled.Officially as regards cost, we had been told it was due to the vandalization of oil installations and unofficially, it had been attributed to everything from the PPRA, PPMC to of course, the PDP.The government could have just sorted out the forex issue and not led us on a long voyage to nowhere.Technically, what this means is that the government had been working towards ending the scarcity of NNPC's '50% fuel' while it was promising to rid us of the entire problem.
Knowing fully well the challenges the oil marketers were facing, concrete steps should have been taken very much earlier instead of shadow boxing and bringing untold hardship on nigerians.lf the price increase was going to make things right, then it should have happened much sooner.
The Petroleum Minister, President Muhamadu Buhari removed fuel subsidy at the start of the year and while some were singing his praises and showing off impressive figures of monies saved amidst a most biting fuel scarcity, he went on re-install the policy.This is confusion at its worst and that is certainly not the hallmark of a good leader.In dire times like these, it is imperative that the leader sits to view things rationally from every angle and be as decisive as possible after a thorough appraisal of the long and short run consequences of his actions.
No better way to illustrate our 'lab rats' status than with the removal/reversal/removal of fuel subsidy.We have been made to sit and watch as our government experiments different policies on us.One unique thing about experimentation is the absence of certainty as there are only varying degrees of hope for a certain outcome.
Now after endless months of being forced to live with the drastic consequences of its ineptitude, we are being told the government has struck a winning formula; only fuel will now cost N145 a litre.We have gone through three 'subsidy' phases that have the potential to define the destiny of a nation in just under 5 months.Someone is definitely confused.
And No, the President can't blame anyone other than himself because he walked us to this spot.
The government has compounded the misery of Nigerians with the recent increase in fuel price and it must cushion the ill-effects as much as possible.I salute the strength and tenacity of the average nigerian whenever I remember that the minimum wage is N18,000.I tell people only a Nigerian would pay all his bills with that and still live on.Buhari must yield to the demands of labour to increase the minimum wage if at least, he won't reduce fuel price not only to alleviate the suffering of Nigerians but to placate our feelings for his role in this mess.While I sincerely hope he gets it right this time, I think it is in the best interest of the government to know when to concede to certain arguments because attempting to rationalize its pathetic handling of the fuel crisis thus far will amount to insulting the intelligence of Nigerians.Its May and I don't remember Kachikwu withdrawing his promise to wipe out queues.
That and every other road that led to where we are now, I haven't forgotten.